METHOD OF MANAGING UNCERTAINTY IN RESOURCE-LIMITED SETTINGS
DOI:
https://doi.org/10.15588/1607-3274-2015-2-11Keywords:
gas turbine unit for terrestrial usage, risk model, method of managing uncertainty, method for choice of countermeasuresAbstract
The article deals with the questions of reliability and functional safety of the gas turbine units for terrestrial usage. Previously developedrisk models of the gas turbine units for terrestrial usage and processes are formalized. Authors propose the method of managing uncertainty of
complex technical systems and their processes in resource-limited settings. It is based on the method of risk assessment and the method for choice of alternative countermeasures. It allows to form the risk critical area for the complex technical systems. The method for choice of
alternative countermeasures improved. It is based on the Analytic Hierarchy Process and the method of acceptable risk ALARP, since the
application of countermeasures realize at the expense actually available (limited) resources. Countermeasures were classified by time of
application and impact object. Dedicated types served as a compare criterion of the method for choice of alternative countermeasures. A
summary table was created for ratio of different types of countermeasures. The method for choice of alternative countermeasures allows to make a conclusion in resource-limited settings and provides economically reasonable estimate of the decision about the level of acceptable risk. The derived methods are tested for the GTU tests process risk assessment.
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